Home Energy and Solar Payback

What your home draws, what it costs, and whether panels would pay for themselves

The tariffs below are indicative 2026 household rates including tax, gathered to put a country in the right range — not a quote. Rates differ by supplier, region, time of day and how much you use, and hardware prices move fast. Take the number off your own bill and type it in; everything else on the page follows from it.

Start from a typical home

A starting point, not an answer — every figure below can be edited, and the wattages are averages over a day rather than the peak on the label. Hours are counted every day of the year, so a heater or an air conditioner used for one season should be entered as its average across all twelve months: four hours a day for four months is one hour and twenty minutes a day. The heating and cooling defaults are already averaged this way, which is why they look low.

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Your home

Electricity price

Off your own bill, this is the one number worth getting right.
A connection fee you keep paying even with panels, unless you go off-grid.
Electricity has outrun general inflation in most places.

Solar array

Set from the country, and worth checking — it is the single biggest lever here.
A 2026 residential module is around 200 W/m²; cheaper ones nearer 170.
Panels, inverter, mounting and labour. Roughly $0.6/W in India, $1.2–1.8 in Europe, $2.5–3.0 in the US.
100 only with full net metering. Without a battery, a home that is empty by day uses closer to 40.
The payback year is worked out season by season over 30 years: output falls about 0.5% a year as the panels age, the tariff you avoid rises at the rate set above, and in year 13 the inverter is replaced at a tenth of what the array cost, along with the battery if there is one. Surplus exported to the grid is counted as earning nothing, so a country with a decent export tariff will do better than this says. Roof area is the panel area alone — a pitched roof with walkways and shading needs perhaps a third more.

About household electricity and solar payback

Almost nobody knows what their home actually uses, because a bill arrives as one number with no breakdown. Adding it up appliance by appliance is a corrective, and the result is usually surprising in both directions. The things people worry about — a phone charger left in the wall, a television on standby — turn out to be pennies a year. The things that matter are the ones that make heat or move it: water heating, space heating and cooling, an electric oven, a tumble dryer. In most homes a handful of appliances account for the large majority of the bill, and everything else together is a rounding error.

Whether panels pay for themselves comes down to four numbers, and only one of them is about the panels. How much sun the roof gets, which varies by more than two to one between northern Europe and the tropics; what the electricity being displaced costs, which varies by more than ten to one between countries; how much of the output is actually used rather than exported for a pittance; and what the installation costs, which has fallen roughly ninety per cent since 2010 and still differs by a factor of four between markets. A system that pays for itself in five years in one country can take twenty-five in another with identical hardware.

Two things are worth saying plainly. Cutting consumption is almost always cheaper than generating more: insulation, a heat pump instead of resistive heating, and drying clothes on a line will usually beat the same money spent on panels. And leaving the grid entirely is a different proposition from putting panels on a roof — it needs enough battery to carry the darkest week of the year, and enough extra panel area to refill that battery in midwinter, which is typically several times the cost of a grid-connected array. For most households the sensible answer is panels plus a grid connection, not panels instead of one.